Healthy Aging: The Evidence by Area
Every graded record that bears on aging well, grouped by what its trials measured: the heart, fitness and falls, the brain, sleep, metabolism, screening, and the drugs and supplements aimed at aging itself.
Records grouped by the part of aging they were tested on. Each letter is copied from the record that owns it.
Heart and blood vessels
Blood pressure, cholesterol and cardiovascular events. Several of these letters rest on a measured risk factor rather than on heart attacks or deaths; the endpoint The outcome a trial measures to decide whether the treatment worked, such as heart attacks, blood pressure or a symptom score. line says which.
- AHard clinical endpointProtocol · Randomized controlled trial People are assigned to the treatment or a comparison by chance, so the groups differ only in what they received. It is the design that can show cause and effect. (PREDIMED)Endpoint: Major cardiovascular events (PREDIMED)
- AHard clinical endpointPrescription · Randomized controlled trialsEndpoint: Cardiovascular death, heart attack and stroke in people with cardiovascular disease or type 2 diabetes
- AHard clinical endpointPrescription · Randomized controlled trialsEndpoint: Cardiovascular death, heart-failure hospitalization and kidney-failure progression
- BSurrogate biomarkerProtocol · Randomized controlled feeding trials (DASH, DASH-Sodium) + meta-analyses A study that pools the numbers from several trials into one combined estimate. of randomized trialsEndpoint: Systolic and diastolic blood pressure (DASH, DASH-Sodium)
- BSurrogate biomarkerProtocol · Meta-analysis of randomized trials (Cochrane)Endpoint: Systolic and diastolic blood pressure (Cochrane meta-analysis)
- BSurrogate biomarkerProtocol · Observational Research that watches what people already do rather than assigning a treatment. It can show that two things travel together, not that one causes the other. synthesis for the headline; randomized trials and pooled analyses on blood pressure and atrial fibrillationEndpoint: Blood pressure in people drinking more than two drinks a day
- BSurrogate biomarkerProtocol · Meta-analyses of randomized trials, psyllium-specific and genus-levelEndpoint: Total and LDL Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, the cholesterol fraction most closely tied to plaque in the arteries. cholesterol
- BSurrogate biomarkerProtocol · Meta-analyses of randomized trials, with a molecular-weight trialEndpoint: LDL cholesterol
- BSurrogate biomarkerProtocol · Meta-analysis of randomized trialsEndpoint: LDL cholesterol
- BSurrogate biomarkerDevice or therapy · Meta-analysis of randomized trialsEndpoint: Blood pressure reduction (validated surrogate)
- BSurrogate biomarkerDevice or therapy · RCT Randomized controlled trial: people are assigned to the treatment or a comparison by chance, so the groups differ only in what they received. It is the design that can show cause and effect. + meta-analysis of randomized trialsEndpoint: Resting systolic blood pressure
- BHard clinical endpointSupplement · Randomized controlled trials (REDUCE-IT, GISSI-P)Endpoint: Cardiovascular events and cardiovascular mortality
- BHard clinical endpointSupplement · Randomized controlled trial (Q-SYMBIO)Endpoint: All-cause mortality and hospitalization in heart failure (Q-SYMBIO)
- DHard clinical endpoint · Tested, harm foundProtocol · Randomized controlled trialEndpoint: Disability-free survival in healthy adults aged 70 and over
- DHard clinical endpoint · Tested, harm foundProtocol · Randomized controlled trial with extended follow-up + systematic reviews A review that searches for every study on a question using a method set in advance, then assesses them together.Endpoint: Chronic disease in healthy postmenopausal women, including breast cancer, stroke and blood clots
Fitness, muscle and falls
Strength, muscle, aerobic capacity and falls, the measures most closely tied to staying independent with age.
- AMeasured functionProtocol · Meta-analysis of randomized trialsEndpoint: Objectively measured muscle size and strength
- AMeasured functionProtocol · Randomized training trials and a meta-analysis of them (VO2max The most oxygen the body can use during all-out exercise, a standard measure of aerobic fitness. gain) + prognostic cohort meta-analysis (Kodama, context only)Endpoint: VO2max, objectively measured
- AMeasured functionProtocol · Randomized training trials and meta-analyses of them (VO2max gain) + prognostic cohort meta-analysis (mortality)Endpoint: VO2max, objectively measured
- AMeasured functionSupplement · Meta-analyses + RCTEndpoint: Strength recorded by an instrument (one-repetition maximum or dynamometer), a functional endpoint
- AMeasured functionProtocol · Meta-analyses of randomized trials (Morton, Tagawa, Nunes) and randomized trialsEndpoint: Strength (one-repetition maximum) gained during resistance training, healthy adults
- BSelf-reportProtocol · Meta-analyses of randomized trialsEndpoint: Falls in older adults
- BMeasured functionDevice or therapy · Randomized trials of REHIT; background meta-analyses of sprint and interval trainingEndpoint: Cardiorespiratory fitness (measured VO2max) in inactive adults
- BMeasured functionDevice or therapy · Meta-analyses of randomized trialsEndpoint: Muscle strength / hypertrophy (objective, low-certainty)
- BHard clinical endpointSupplement · RCTs + meta-analyses (use-specific)Grade for: Fracture prevention, vitamin D3 with calcium, older adults living in institutions
- CSelf-reportSupplement · RCTs + meta-analyses (use-specific)Grade for: Fall prevention (older adults)
Brain and mood
Cognition, dementia symptoms, depression and anxiety. No record here has been shown to prevent dementia in healthy older adults.
- ADevice or therapy · Randomized controlled trials + meta-analysis of randomized trialsEndpoint: Response and remission in treatment-resistant major depression on blinded clinician-rated scales (HAM-D, MADRS)
- ABlinded clinician ratingDevice or therapy · Randomized sham-controlled trials and meta-analyses, by useEndpoint: Postoperative cognitive dysfunction in older adults having major surgery, on the Montreal Cognitive Assessment
- BDevice or therapy · Randomized controlled trials + meta-analysis of randomized trialsEndpoint: Depression scores, response and remission in winter seasonal depression and non-seasonal major depression on clinician-rated scales (SIGH-SAD, HAM-D, MADRS)
- BProtocol · Meta-analysis of randomized trialsEndpoint: Self-reported anxiety, depression and pain
- BSupplement · Meta-analysis of RCTsEndpoint: Depression symptom scales (HAM-D and similar)
- BMeasured functionSupplement · Meta-analyses of randomized trials and a randomized trialEndpoint: Cognitive symptoms in mild to moderate dementia
- BDevice or therapy · Meta-analyses of randomized trials and a sham-controlled randomized trialEndpoint: Self-reported anxiety
- CSelf-reportProtocol · Meta-analyses of randomized trials of loneliness programs and one randomized trial with mortality; cohort studies An observational study that follows a group of people over time and compares what happens to them. described, not gradedGrade for: Self-rated loneliness in older adults
- DSelf-report · Tested, no benefitSupplement · RCTs + meta-analyses (use-specific)Grade for: Prevention of depression in adults aged 50 and over
- DHard clinical endpoint · Not yet testedProtocol · Randomized placebo-controlled trials for shingles; natural experiments and observational studies, no randomized trial yet, for dementiaGrade for: Dementia in older adults
Hearing
Age-related hearing loss: what hearing aids were found to do for hearing itself, and what they were tested for beyond it.
- BSelf-reportDevice or therapy · Randomized trials of hearing aids against placebo An inactive substitute made to look like the real treatment, so participants cannot tell which one they received. hearing aids, a waiting list, no hearing aid or health education, and their Cochrane meta-analysisEndpoint: Self-rated hearing-related quality of life and everyday communication in adults with mild to moderate hearing loss
- CMeasured functionProtocol · Randomized trials: one large multicenter trial with a prespecified subgroup analysis, one small trial in Alzheimer's diseaseGrade for: Cognitive decline over 3 years in older adults with hearing loss at higher risk of decline
- DMeasured function · Tested, no benefitProtocol · Randomized trials: one large multicenter trial with a prespecified subgroup analysis, one small trial in Alzheimer's diseaseGrade for: Cognitive decline over 3 years in adults aged 70 to 84 with untreated hearing loss, overall
Sleep
Insomnia, sleep apnea and daytime alertness.
- AMeasured functionDevice or therapy · Randomized trials and meta-analyses of CPAP against usual care, sham A fake version of a procedure or device used as the comparison, so participants cannot tell which one they received. CPAP or inactive controlEndpoint: Objectively measured daytime wakefulness in moderate to severe obstructive sleep apnea
- AMeasured functionProtocol · Randomized laboratory and workplace trials and meta-analyses of them (short-term alertness and performance); cohort studies and genetic analyses on heart disease, mortality and dementia are listed as excluded evidence and carry no letterEndpoint: Alertness and cognitive performance on objective tests (reaction time, attention lapses, sleep latency, task scores) in the 1 to 3 hours after a nap
- BSelf-reportProtocol · Meta-analysis of randomized trials (CBT-I)Endpoint: Insomnia: sleep onset, time awake after sleep onset and sleep efficiency, from sleep diaries
- BSurrogate biomarkerDevice or therapy · A randomized crossover A trial design in which each participant receives both the treatment and the comparison, one after the other, and serves as their own control. against CPAP and network meta-analyses of randomized trialsEndpoint: Apnea severity, daytime sleepiness and blood pressure in obstructive sleep apnea
- BSurrogate biomarkerDevice or therapy · Randomized sham-controlled, delayed-activation and withdrawal trials of implanted stimulatorsEndpoint: Apnea severity and daytime sleepiness in implanted adults who cannot use CPAP
- BProtocol · Meta-analyses of randomized trialsEndpoint: Self-reported sleep quality
- BSelf-reportProtocol · A Cochrane review and a second meta-analysis of randomized trials against sham exercisesEndpoint: Daytime sleepiness and apnea-hypopnea index after two to four months of daily mouth and throat exercises
- BMeasured functionSupplement · Meta-analyses of randomized trials, with per-use rowsEndpoint: Sleep onset timing in delayed sleep phase disorder (B) and jet lag symptoms after flights across five or more time zones (B). In ordinary adult insomnia the effect on sleep onset is a few minutes and the adult-only pooled analysis is null, so that use is C. The antioxidant claim rests on no randomized clinical trial and carries no letter.
Weight, blood sugar and metabolism
Body weight, HbA1c A blood test that reflects average blood sugar over the previous two to three months., fasting glucose and progression to diabetes.
- BSurrogate biomarkerPrescription · Randomized controlled trialsEndpoint: Apnea-hypopnea index in obstructive sleep apnea with obesity; onset of type 2 diabetes in prediabetes
- BSurrogate biomarkerPrescription · Randomized controlled trials (phase 2 and phase 3)Endpoint: Body weight and HbA1c
- BSurrogate biomarkerSupplement · RCT + meta-analysis of randomized trialsEndpoint: HbA1c, fasting glucose and LDL cholesterol in type 2 diabetes and dyslipidemia
- BSurrogate biomarkerSupplement · Meta-analysis of RCTsEndpoint: Fasting glucose and HbA1c
- BSurrogate biomarkerSupplement · Meta-analysis of RCTsEndpoint: Glycemic markers (blood sugar)
- BSurrogate biomarkerProtocol · Randomized controlled trials and meta-analyses of randomized trials (LDL cholesterol, HbA1c); cohort evidence only for events and mortalityEndpoint: LDL cholesterol (and HbA1c in type 2 diabetes)
- BSurrogate biomarkerProtocol · Randomized controlled trial (inpatient metabolic ward)Endpoint: Short-term energy intake and body weight
- BSurrogate biomarkerProtocol · Randomized controlled trials + meta-analysisEndpoint: Blood pressure against an unrestricted diet, adults without diabetes
- CSurrogate biomarkerSupplement · RCTs + meta-analyses (use-specific)Grade for: Progression from prediabetes to type 2 diabetes
- DMeasured function · Tested, harm foundPrescription · Randomized controlled trialsEndpoint: Muscle and mitochondrial gains from exercise training in healthy older adults
Screening tests
Tests graded on whether screening with them lowered deaths, not on whether they find something.
- AHard clinical endpointDevice or therapy · Randomized trials of the screening strategy, by testEndpoint: Colorectal cancer mortality (hard endpoint An outcome that matters directly to a person and is counted without judgment, such as death, heart attack, stroke or fracture.), graded separately by test
- AHard clinical endpointDevice or therapy · Population randomized trials of an invitation to screening against usual care, and their pooled analysisGrade for: Colorectal cancer deaths, an invitation to flexible sigmoidoscopy, adults aged 55 to 64
- AHard clinical endpointDevice or therapy · Large randomized trials of low-dose CT screening against chest X-ray or no screeningGrade for: Lung cancer deaths, current and former heavy smokers aged 50 to 74
- BHard clinical endpointDevice or therapy · Meta-analyses of randomized trials of mammography screening against no screeningGrade for: Breast cancer deaths, women aged 50 to 69
- BHard clinical endpointDevice or therapy · Large randomized trials of PSA screening against usual careGrade for: Prostate cancer deaths, men aged 55 to 69
- BHard clinical endpointDevice or therapy · Randomized trials of HPV-based screening against cytology or no screeningGrade for: Invasive cervical cancer, HPV-based against cytology-based screening, women aged 20 to 64
- DHard clinical endpoint · Tested, no benefitProtocol · Cochrane meta-analysis of randomized trials (found no mortality benefit → D)Endpoint: All-cause, cardiovascular and cancer mortality in adults unselected for disease
- DSurrogate biomarker · Tested, no benefitDevice or therapy · Tested in one large randomized trial; primary endpoint The one outcome a trial names in advance as its main test. Results on other outcomes carry less weight. not metEndpoint: Incidence of late-stage (III and IV) cancer at diagnosis, a stage-shift surrogate for cancer mortality
- DHard clinical endpoint · Not yet testedDevice or therapy · No randomized outcome trial; pooled observational yield data onlyEndpoint: Cancer mortality or all-cause mortality in asymptomatic screened adults
- DHard clinical endpoint · Tested, no benefitDevice or therapy · Population randomized trials of an invitation to screening against usual care, and their pooled analysisGrade for: Colorectal cancer deaths and death from any cause, an invitation to screening colonoscopy, adults aged 55 to 64
Aimed at aging itself
Interventions marketed as slowing aging. Each is graded on the human outcome its trials measured, which so far has never been lifespan.
- CSurrogate biomarkerSupplement · Randomized controlled trial, single small trial per useEndpoint: Muscle insulin sensitivity in prediabetic postmenopausal women, which is the use the Grade C rests on. Blood NAD+ Nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide, a molecule cells use in energy metabolism. Its level falls with age in some tissues. concentration is also Grade C and is a mechanistic marker, not an outcome. Longevity, healthspan and mortality are Grade D: no human trial has tested them.
- CMeasured functionSupplement · Randomized trials, mostly null on clinical outcomes; one unreplicated positiveEndpoint: Six-minute walk in peripheral artery disease; blood NAD+; cognition and insulin sensitivity tested without benefit; early Parkinson disease tested with harm found
- CSurrogate biomarkerProtocol · Randomized controlled trial (CALERIE-2)Endpoint: Metabolic markers and pace of aging in healthy non-obese adults
- CSurrogate biomarkerProtocol · One pilot randomized controlled trial, maker-fundedEndpoint: DNA methylation age, an epigenetic clock A test that estimates biological age from chemical marks on DNA (DNA methylation).
- CHard clinical endpointProtocol · Cochrane meta-analyses of randomized trials of quit-smoking medicines, and two randomized trials of quit programs with mortality; cohort studies described, not gradedGrade for: Death from any cause, a quit-smoking program, middle-aged smokers
- DMeasured function · Tested, no benefitPrescription · Three randomized placebo-controlled trials, null primaries (D Route 2 Human randomized trials have been run and did not show benefit on the stated outcome. One of the two routes to the lowest letter on EBL's scale.)Endpoint: Visceral adiposity and physical function (chair-stand repetitions) in older adults
- DHard clinical endpoint · Not yet testedSupplement · Animal study only (D Route 1 No human randomized trial has been run, so the record rests on animal or mechanistic evidence only. One of the two routes to the lowest letter on EBL's scale.)Endpoint: No randomized trial of fisetin as a senolytic A compound intended to clear senescent cells: older cells that have stopped dividing but remain in tissue. for aging has reported results. Small randomized trials exist in other uses, including a null placebo-controlled crossover in Gulf War illness. Route 1: animal senolytic data only.
- DHard clinical endpoint · Not yet tested; tested, no benefitSupplement · Animal + observational for aging (D Route 1); randomized trial null for memory (D Route 2); pharmacokinetic trialsEndpoint: No randomized trial of spermidine on lifespan or mortality has been run. A 12-month randomized trial in older adults with subjective cognitive decline (SmartAge) found no effect on memory. Route 1: animal lifespan data plus observational epidemiology.
- Environmental exposures: what lowering them has shown →
- Nutrient gaps in America →
- Landmark trials →
- What does not work →
- Cancer: care during and after treatment →
- Top lists by grade →
- Cancer screening tests compared →
- Evidence by goal: heart and blood vessels →
- Evidence by goal: blood sugar →
- Evidence by goal: brain and mood →
- Evidence by goal: strength and falls →
- Evidence by goal: bones →
- Evidence by goal: sleep →
- Evidence by goal: hearing and vision →
- Evidence by goal: living longer →