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Evidence Based Longevity (EBL)Check what I take
Evidence Trace, complete trial record
In plain terms

In plain terms: Semaglutide has strong evidence from human clinical trials. The benefit shown in those trials is reduction of major adverse cardiovascular events, in two separate randomized populations. weight loss is the reason most people take it and is not the endpoint that earns the a if that describes your situation.

Semaglutide

A Replicated: replicated trials on a qualifying endpoint
Category Longevity Rx
Class GLP-1 receptor agonist · Prescription only
Evidence Randomized controlled trials
Reviewed August 2026
PMIDs 37952131 · 27633186 · 33567185
The endpoint this grade is based on: Hard clinical endpoint (mortality, major event), Reduction of major adverse cardiovascular events, in two separate randomized populations. Weight loss is the reason most people take it and is not the endpoint that earns the A.

The evidence as the record states it

Lincoff et al., SELECT (New England Journal of Medicine, 2023; PMID 37952131): 17,604 adults aged 45 and over with pre-existing cardiovascular disease and BMI 27 or higher, without diabetes, randomized to semaglutide 2.4 mg weekly or placebo. Pre-specified primary composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction or non-fatal stroke: 6.5% versus 8.0%, hazard ratio 0.80 (95% CI 0.72 to 0.90, p<0.001), over a mean 39.8 months. Permanent discontinuation for adverse events was 16.6% versus 8.2%. Marso et al., SUSTAIN-6 (New England Journal of Medicine, 2016; PMID 27633186): 3,297 adults with type 2 diabetes, same composite endpoint, 6.6% versus 8.9%, hazard ratio 0.74 (95% CI 0.58 to 0.95). Two independent randomized trials in different populations, both on a hard clinical outcome. Grade A is reached by a replicated hard clinical outcome, a replicated objectively measured function, or a replicated scale scored by a clinician blinded to treatment; this record takes the first route. Wilding et al., STEP-1 (New England Journal of Medicine, 2021; PMID 33567185) is cited for the weight endpoint and is not what the A rests on. Retinopathy complications were more frequent on semaglutide in SUSTAIN-6.

PMID 37952131 PMID 27633186 PMID 33567185

Why Grade A and not higher

Grade A requires a hard clinical endpoint or objectively measured functional outcome, independently replicated across at least two trials. Semaglutide meets that standard based on the trials cited above. A downgrade to Grade B would follow if replication attempts produced null results, if the effect size proved substantially smaller in a broader population, or if the studied dose proved impractical to sustain.

What this grade covers and what it does not

Grade A by the replicated hard-outcome route: two randomized trials in different populations, both on a composite of cardiovascular death, non-fatal myocardial infarction and non-fatal stroke. WHAT THIS GRADE DOES NOT COVER: everyone enrolled already had established cardiovascular disease, or type 2 diabetes. The A says this drug prevents events in people who are already ill. It says nothing about a healthy adult taking it to live longer, and no trial has asked that question. Weight loss is the reason most people take semaglutide and is not the endpoint that earned the letter. Two things belong beside the A rather than below it: permanent discontinuation for adverse events ran roughly double placebo in the larger trial, and retinopathy complications were more frequent on semaglutide in the diabetes trial.

What would move this grade

A null result in a well-powered independent replication trial, or evidence that the effect does not hold at a practically sustainable dose, would prompt downgrade to Grade B.

How this was studied

Form: Semaglutide by subcutaneous injection once a week, added to standard care, versus placebo · Dose: 0.5 mg or 1.0 mg weekly (SUSTAIN-6); 2.4 mg weekly (SELECT) · Population: 3,297 adults with type 2 diabetes at high cardiovascular risk, 83 percent with established cardiovascular disease, chronic kidney disease or both (SUSTAIN-6); 17,604 adults aged 45 or older with established cardiovascular disease and a BMI of 27 or more, without diabetes (SELECT) · Duration: 104 weeks (SUSTAIN-6); mean follow-up 39.8 months (SELECT) · What is sold differs: The trials this grade rests on used the weekly injection; the daily tablet is a different route and dose. Every participant had type 2 diabetes or established cardiovascular disease, so the grade does not describe use in healthy adults.

How to track whether this is working Prescription only; requires physician management. Cardiovascular risk factors and lean mass.